CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2016-01-02T01:50:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2016-01-02T01:50ZCME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-01-03T12:00Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:
Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-01-02T01:50Z Radial velocity (km/s): 1500km/s Longitude (deg): 46W Latitude (deg): 26S Half-angular width (deg): 41 deg Notes: The main ejecta is likely to miss the Earth or give a peripheral impact around 03/2000Z. There was a visible shock front ahead of this on SOHO C3 images that may give an impact at Earth from around late morning to early afternoon. Space weather advisor:Lead Time: 17.42 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2016-01-02T18:35Z
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